What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Club Atletico Peñarol and 0.8 from Boston River, so Club Atletico Peñarol come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Club Atletico Peñarol come into this on two straight wins. Boston River come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Club Atletico Peñarol to win. Club Atletico Peñarol are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.8), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
