What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from AC Oulu and 1.4 from SJK, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
SJK come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This one is tight against the line: we make it around 2.8 goals (xG 1.3-1.4) and it takes three to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 54%). A close call rather than a comfortable one.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. We only make this about 54%, so it's far from a lock.
