How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 6.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from HJK and 1.1 from VPS, so HJK come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
HJK come into this on two straight draws. VPS come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: HJK to score 2 or fewer. This is about HJK's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
HJK have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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