What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Ilves and 1.2 from Lahti, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Ilves come into this on three straight defeats. Lahti come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 53%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Ilves have won one of their last five.
✓Lahti have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
26 Jul 2026Ilves 1 - 0 Lahti
30 May 2026Lahti 5 - 0 Ilves
29 Jun 2024Lahti 2 - 2 Ilves
6 Apr 2024Ilves 0 - 0 Lahti
21 Oct 2023Lahti 1 - 5 Ilves
