How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Inter Turku and 0.9 from VPS, so Inter Turku come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.4-0.8), keeping it under more often than not (about 76%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Inter Turku have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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