Caracas FC v Deportivo Táchira: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Caracas FC to score 1 or fewer 71%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.0 goals from Caracas FC and 1.3 from Deportivo Táchira, so Deportivo Táchira come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Caracas FC come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Caracas FC to score 1 or fewer. This is about Caracas FC's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 71%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.