How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Floridsdorfer AC (Draw No Bet) 63%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Floridsdorfer AC and 1.0 from SKU Amstetten, so Floridsdorfer AC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Floridsdorfer AC (Draw No Bet). Floridsdorfer AC are favoured here (xG 1.4-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Floridsdorfer AC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.90, which works out at about 53 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright SKU Amstetten win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 63%: a lean, not a lock.
