How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Austria Vienna (Draw No Bet) 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
The game looks tilted in Austria Vienna’s favour. Their goal expectation is almost two per match while Tirol average just over one. That gap makes the contest feel open enough for a few chances, but the numbers still point to Vienna as the stronger side.
Recent form is not great for either club. Vienna have only one win in their last five league outings and have lost the other four. Tirol have managed one win, one draw and three defeats in the same span. In the last five meetings Vienna have the edge, winning three, drawing once and losing once, with an average of just over two goals per game. The most recent clash ended 0-0.
We back Austria Vienna with a draw-no-bet. The price of 1.41 matches our view of the match and gives a safe cushion – if the game ends level our stake is returned, and only a loss for Vienna would hurt us. Our confidence in this outcome is about 72 %.
For the pick to go wrong, Vienna would need to be beaten outright. A surprise win for Tirol or a high-scoring draw would both break our plan. We still feel the risk is low, so we hold the view fairly strongly.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
