How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
The game looks fairly open. Wolfsberger AC are expected to score about 1.2 goals while LASK are a touch stronger at 1.6. Together that points to almost three goals in the match, so we should see chances on both ends rather than a tight defensive battle.
Wolfsberger have been decent lately, with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five league outings. LASK have been in better shape, winning four of their previous five games and only losing once. In the head-to-head record the home side has the edge, winning four of the last five meetings, but those games have averaged three goals. The most recent clash ended 3-1 to LASK, showing both teams can find the net.
Our pick is both teams to score. Each side is likely to get a goal based on the expected tallies, and the 63 % chance we give it reflects that. The price of 1.54 matches our view of the game, so we think it is a fair offering.
It would have to go wrong if one side shuts out the other, for example if LASK dominate and keep a clean sheet or if Wolfsberger defend resolutely and fail to score. That would be a low-probability event for us, so we hold our view fairly strongly.
Recent meetings
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