What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Baranovichi and 1.4 from Gomel, so Gomel come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Gomel to win. Gomel shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.4), and we make them about 50% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.94, which works out at about 52 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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