What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Dinamo Minsk and 0.8 from Neman Grodno, so Dinamo Minsk come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dinamo Minsk come into this on five straight wins. Neman Grodno come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Dinamo Minsk to win. Dinamo Minsk are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.8), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Dinamo Minsk have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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