How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Beveren to score 1 or fewer 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Beveren host St Truiden at home in the Belgian Pro League on 12 September 2026. Beveren sit lower in the table than the visitors, who have been the stronger side in recent form. Both clubs are looking for points, but the stakes are different. Beveren need a win to climb out of the relegation zone, while St Truiden are pushing for a top-half finish. The numbers we have suggest an open game with chances at both ends, and the expected total is three goals.
Beveren’s last five matches have been a mixed bag. They opened the run with a 3-0 win over Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home, then suffered a 4-0 loss to Genk away and another 4-0 defeat at Waregem. They bounced back with a 1-0 victory over Anderlecht at home before losing 2-1 to Antwerp away. In those five games they have scored five goals and let in ten. They kept two clean sheets but also failed to find the net in two matches. Four of the games featured three or more goals, and both sides scored in only one of them.
St Truiden’s recent form looks steadier. In their last eight outings they have won three, drawn three and lost two. Their most recent result was a 4-0 home win over RAAL La Louvière, before a 3-0 home defeat by St Gilloise. Before that they beat Antwerp 4-1 away, drew 3-3 with Cercle Brugge away, drew 1-1 with Lommel SK at home and beat Mechelen 3-0 at home. On the road they have one win, one draw and one loss in their last three trips. Over the eight games they have scored 17 and conceded 12, kept two clean sheets and were held scoreless once. Six of those matches produced three or more goals and both teams found the net in five of them.
When the two sides have met before, the games have tended to produce several goals, with both teams often scoring. Given the recent patterns – Beveren’s occasional clean sheets and St Truiden’s ability to score freely – we expect a match that will see chances at both ends. The goal expectations of 1.0 for Beveren and 2.0 for St Truiden reinforce the view that St Truiden will be the more likely to find the net, while Beveren may struggle to add more than one.
Our pick is Beveren to score one goal or fewer. We think the chance of this happening is about 73 percent, and the price of 1.60 looks generous compared with our reading of the game. For the bet to fail, Beveren would need to score two or more goals, which seems unlikely given their recent scoring record and the strength of the visitors. If St Truiden keep up their usual scoring rate, the match should finish with Beveren on a single goal or none at all.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
