What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Mechelen and 1.5 from Anderlecht, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Mechelen have not won any of their last five.
✓Anderlecht have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 May 2026Anderlecht 2 - 2 Mechelen
18 Apr 2026Mechelen 1 - 2 Anderlecht
15 Mar 2026Mechelen 1 - 0 Anderlecht
1 Nov 2025Anderlecht 3 - 1 Mechelen
26 Jan 2025Anderlecht 4 - 1 Mechelen
