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Football/Belgian Pro League/Mechelen v St Truiden
Belgian Pro League · AFAS Stadion Mechelen

Mechelen v St Truiden prediction

Mechelen crestMechelenLDLLD
v
St Truiden crestSt TruidenWLWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Mechelen and 1.6 from St Truiden, so St Truiden come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

St Truiden come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Mechelen have not won any of their last five.
St Truiden have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 May 2026St Truiden 3 - 0 Mechelen
26 Apr 2026Mechelen 1 - 4 St Truiden
21 Dec 2025St Truiden 1 - 0 Mechelen
4 Oct 2025Mechelen 1 - 3 St Truiden
21 Feb 2025Mechelen 1 - 1 St Truiden
St Truiden have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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Genk crestGenkvKortrijkKortrijk crest★★★★★
Genk are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.7), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickGenk to win · 1.46Share
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