How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Club Brugge to win 61%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Waregem and 2.0 from Club Brugge, so Club Brugge come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Club Brugge come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Club Brugge to win. Club Brugge shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.0), and we make them about 63% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Club Brugge have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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