How it turned out
We projected about 4.8 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Always Ready to win 87%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 3.8 goals from Always Ready and 1.0 from CDT Real Oruro, so Always Ready come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
CDT Real Oruro come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Always Ready to win. Always Ready are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.8-1.0), and we make them about 89% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 87 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.11, which works out at about 90 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Always Ready have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.
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