Independiente Petrolero v Academia del Balompie Boliviano prediction

What to expect

Independiente Petrolero host Academia del Balompie Boliviano at home in the Bolivia División Profesional on 24 October 2026. Independiente sit 11th out of 16 with 26 points after 22 games and a goal difference of minus 10. One place above them is CDT Real Oruro, just a point ahead, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo sit below, two points back. Both clubs are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, so a win or loss could move them several spots in the table. The numbers show Independiente as the stronger side, with an average of 2.3 goals compared with Academia’s 1.0.

Independiente’s recent form has been poor. In their last eight matches they have not won a single game, recording one draw and seven defeats. The most recent result was a 0-0 draw with Blooming away. Before that they lost 2-0 to Always Ready away, 3-1 to San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home, 3-1 to Universitario de Vinto away, 7-0 to Emelec away and 3-0 to Deportivo Táchira FC away. In those eight games they have scored only three goals while conceding 25. They kept one clean sheet and failed to find the net in five matches. Six of the games featured three or more goals, and in three of them both sides scored.

Academia del Balompie Boliviano’s recent run is not listed, so we cannot detail their last fixtures. Their latest result is the only one we have, and it shows they have managed to score at least once in a game, giving them a 55 per cent chance of finding the net against Independiente. Their chance of scoring twice is low at 20 per cent, which suggests they are capable of getting a goal but are unlikely to dominate the scoring.

When the two teams have met before there is no record in the data we have, so we cannot point to any head-to-head history. The numbers we do have indicate an open game with chances at both ends. Independiente have an 85 per cent chance of scoring at all and a 56 per cent chance of scoring twice or more. Academia have a 55 per cent chance of scoring and only a 20 per cent chance of scoring twice. This points to a match where the home side should create more opportunities, but both sides are likely to find the net.

Our pick is Independiente Petrolero to win. The price of 1.58 sits close to our own reading of the game. We see Independiente as about 64 per cent likely to take all three points, even though they have not won in eight games. The price looks good for a team that, on the numbers, is the stronger side. For the pick to go wrong Independiente would have to stay winless again and concede early, allowing Academia to hold on with a single goal. If Academia manage to score twice, the balance could shift, but we think the odds are in Independiente’s favour.