How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made The Strongest or Draw 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Oriente Petrolero and 1.6 from The Strongest, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: The Strongest or Draw. This covers The Strongest or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The Strongest have won four of the last five meetings.
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