How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Blooming to win 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Blooming host Universitario de Vinto at home in the Bolivia División Profesional on 17 September 2026. Blooming sit ninth in the 16-team table with 26 points from 19 games and a +8 goal difference. They are just one point behind Nacional Potosí in eighth place and one point ahead of Independiente Petrolero in tenth. Universitario de Vinto are down in thirteenth, holding 17 points from the same number of matches and carrying a –13 goal difference. They sit three points behind ABB in twelfth and are level on points with San Antonio Bulo Bulo in fourteenth. Both clubs are fighting for better positions, but the gap in points and goal difference makes this a chance for Blooming to pull away from the teams around them while Universitario de Vinto look to climb out of the lower half.
Blooming have been in decent form lately. They beat their previous opponents 2-0, then followed that with a 3-1 victory and later a 1-0 win. Those three results give them six goals scored and only one conceded in the last three games. The run shows a side that can find the net regularly and keep clean sheets, which is reflected in their current +8 goal difference.
Universitario de Vinto have struggled to find the same rhythm. Their recent fixtures produced a 0-2 loss, a 1-4 defeat and a 0-3 reverse. In those three games they have scored just one goal while letting in nine, leaving them with a –13 goal difference. Their most recent match ended in a 0-3 loss, a heavy defeat that underlines their defensive frailties and lack of firepower in front of goal.
When the two clubs have met before, the games have tended to be low-scoring affairs with the home side usually having the edge. Given Blooming’s better recent record and stronger numbers, we expect a similar pattern this time – Blooming to dominate possession and create more chances, while Universitario de Vinto will find it hard to break through. The numbers suggest Blooming will likely score at least once, with a good chance of a second goal, whereas Universitario de Vinto are less likely to find the net at all.
Our pick is a Blooming win. The price of 1.51 matches our own view of the game and looks reasonable. We see Blooming as the stronger side, with an expected 1.9 goals compared with 0.9 for the visitors, and we give them about a 66 % chance to take all three points. The price is attractive for a side that should be able to score, especially since they have an 88 % chance of scoring at least once and a 63 % chance of scoring twice. The only way this could go wrong is if Universitario de Vinto manage to tighten up defensively and find a goal, or if Blooming fail to convert the chances they create. Even then, a draw would still be a decent result for the home side. Overall, backing Blooming to win looks the cleaner play.
Recent results
Blooming have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
