How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 4. We made Always Ready to win 41%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Nacional Potosí and 1.5 from Always Ready, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Nacional Potosí come into this on two straight wins. Always Ready come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Always Ready to win. Always Ready shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make them about 43% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Always Ready have won five of the last five meetings.
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