CDT Real Oruro v Real Potosí: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 2. We made CDT Real Oruro to win 43%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from CDT Real Oruro and 1.4 from Real Potosí, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: CDT Real Oruro to win. CDT Real Oruro are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make them about 45% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.55, which works out at about 39 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.