What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from BSK Banja Luka and 1.0 from Čelik Zenica, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
BSK Banja Luka come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: BSK Banja Luka to win. BSK Banja Luka are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.0), and we make them about 44% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
