How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Borac Banja Luka to win 40%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from FK Sarajevo and 1.2 from Borac Banja Luka, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Borac Banja Luka come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.2), and we make them about 42% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 40 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
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