What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from FK Sarajevo and 1.2 from Borac Banja Luka, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.2), and we make them about 42% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 40 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.25, which works out at about 44 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓FK Sarajevo have won two of their last five.
✓Borac Banja Luka are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
