What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from FK Sarajevo and 1.2 from Zrinjski Mostar, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Zrinjski Mostar come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Zrinjski Mostar to win. Zrinjski Mostar shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.2), and we make them about 38% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 38 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.80, which works out at about 36 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn FK Sarajevo a draw or better. We only make this about 38%, so it's far from a lock.