Radnik Bijeljina v Borac Banja Luka: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Borac Banja Luka to win 65%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 0.6 goals from Radnik Bijeljina and 1.7 from Borac Banja Luka, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Borac Banja Luka come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.7), and we make them about 67% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.