How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made FK Sarajevo to win 36%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from FK Velež Mostar and 1.1 from FK Sarajevo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FK Sarajevo come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FK Sarajevo to win. FK Sarajevo shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.1), and we make them about 38% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
