What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Borac Banja Luka and 0.8 from Zrinjski Mostar, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Zrinjski Mostar come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.3-0.8), and we make them about 50% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.86, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
