Atletico GO v Vila Nova: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Atletico GO (Draw No Bet) 66%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Atletico GO and 0.9 from Vila Nova, so Atletico GO come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Atletico GO (Draw No Bet). Atletico GO are favoured here (xG 1.4-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Atletico GO defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.