How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. Both teams scored. We made Botafogo RJ (Draw No Bet) 68%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Botafogo RJ (Draw No Bet). Botafogo RJ favoured (xG 1.6-1.1); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Botafogo RJ have won two of their last five.
✓Fluminense have not won any of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
12 Feb 2026Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo RJ
28 Sept 2025Fluminense 2 - 0 Botafogo RJ
27 Apr 2025Botafogo RJ 2 - 0 Fluminense
21 Sept 2024Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo RJ
12 Jun 2024Botafogo RJ 1 - 0 Fluminense
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Fluminense win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 68% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
