How it turned out
The game finished with 0 goals.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Palmeiras to win. Palmeiras are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.7), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Palmeiras have won three of their last five.
✓Internacional have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
13 Feb 2026Internacional 1 - 3 Palmeiras
13 Sept 2025Palmeiras 4 - 1 Internacional
16 Apr 2025Internacional 0 - 1 Palmeiras
4 Aug 2024Internacional 1 - 1 Palmeiras
18 Apr 2024Palmeiras 0 - 1 Internacional
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Internacional a draw or better.
