How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Cruzeiro come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.4-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 58%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 58%.
