What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Chapecoense-SC and 1.5 from Vasco, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Chapecoense-SC come into this on two straight defeats. Vasco come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Vasco or Draw. This covers Vasco or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Vasco have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.
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