How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Internacional to score 1 or fewer 81%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Fluminense and 0.9 from Internacional, so Fluminense come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Fluminense come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Internacional to score 1 or fewer. This is about Internacional's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 81%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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