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Football/Bundesliga/Augsburg v Union Berlin
Bundesliga

Augsburg v Union Berlin prediction

Augsburg crestAugsburg6th of 18 · 8 ptsWWDLD
v
Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin16th of 18 · 4 ptsLLLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Augsburg and 1.2 from Union Berlin, so Augsburg come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Union Berlin come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Augsburg have won two of their last five.
✓Union Berlin have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

16 May 2026Union Berlin 4 - 0 Augsburg
15 Jan 2026Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
17 May 2025Augsburg 1 - 2 Union Berlin
15 Jan 2025Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg
12 Apr 2024Augsburg 2 - 0 Union Berlin
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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