What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Paderborn and 1.1 from Hamburg, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Paderborn or Draw. This covers Paderborn or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Paderborn have won two of their last five.
✓Hamburg have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
2 Mar 2025Paderborn 2 - 0 Hamburg
28 Sept 2024Hamburg 2 - 2 Paderborn
10 May 2024Paderborn 1 - 0 Hamburg
9 Dec 2023Hamburg 1 - 2 Paderborn
5 May 2023Hamburg 2 - 2 Paderborn
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