How it turned out
We projected about 4.5 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Bayern Munich to win 87%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Schalke 04 and 3.5 from Bayern Munich, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bayern Munich come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bayern Munich to win. Bayern Munich shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-3.5), and we make them about 88% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 87 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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