What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from HFX Wanderers FC and 1.3 from Inter Toronto FC, so HFX Wanderers FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: HFX Wanderers FC to win. HFX Wanderers FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make them about 46% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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