What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Lask Linz and 1.4 from Celtic, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Celtic come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Celtic to win. Celtic shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.86, which works out at about 35 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Lask Linz only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We only make this about 45%, so it's far from a lock.
