How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Hapoel Beer Sheva to win 36%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.0 from Sabah FA, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sabah FA come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win. Hapoel Beer Sheva are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.0), and we make them about 38% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.37, which works out at about 42 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
