What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Celtic and 0.9 from Lask Linz, so Celtic come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Celtic come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Celtic to win. Celtic are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Lask Linz only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 67%: a lean, not a lock.
