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Football/UEFA Champions League/Paris SG v Barcelona
UEFA Champions League

Paris SG v Barcelona prediction

Paris SG crestParis SG1st of 36 · 6 ptsWWWWW
v
Barcelona crestBarcelona2nd of 36 · 6 ptsWWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Paris SG and 1.8 from Barcelona, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Paris SG come into this on five straight wins. Barcelona come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Barcelona or Draw. This covers Barcelona or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Paris SG are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓Barcelona are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent results

1 Oct 2025Barcelona 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
16 Apr 2024Barcelona 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
10 Apr 2024Paris Saint Germain 2 - 3 Barcelona
10 Mar 2021Paris Saint Germain 1 - 1 Barcelona
16 Feb 2021Barcelona 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain

Barcelona have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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Full fixture list
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