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Football/EFL Championship/Birmingham v Millwall
EFL Championship · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Birmingham v Millwall prediction

Birmingham crestBirmingham6th of 24 · 23 ptsWWWLW
v
Millwall crestMillwall12th of 24 · 18 ptsWLDLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Birmingham and 1.0 from Millwall, so Birmingham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Birmingham or Draw. This covers Birmingham or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Birmingham have won four of their last five.
✓Millwall have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.

Recent results

25 Feb 2026Millwall 3 - 0 Birmingham
4 Nov 2025Birmingham 4 - 0 Millwall
9 Mar 2024Millwall 1 - 0 Birmingham
2 Sept 2023Birmingham 1 - 1 Millwall
18 Apr 2023Millwall 0 - 1 Birmingham

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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More EFL Championship fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 →
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