Bolton v Bristol City: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Bolton to score 77%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Bolton and 1.4 from Bristol City, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Bolton to score. This is about Bolton's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.