How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Burnley or Draw 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Burnley and 1.2 from Portsmouth, so Burnley come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Burnley come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Burnley or Draw. This covers Burnley or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Burnley have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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