What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Bolton and 1.5 from West Ham, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Bolton come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Bolton have won one of their last five.
✓West Ham have won two of their last five.
