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Football/EFL Championship/Charlton v Preston
EFL Championship · The Valley

Charlton v Preston: how it went

Charlton crestCharlton9th of 24 · 12 ptsLWLWW
1 - 0
Preston crestPreston23rd of 24 · 4 ptsLWLLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Under 2.5 goals 54%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Charlton and 1.0 from Preston, so Charlton come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Charlton come into this on two straight wins. Preston come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 56%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.75, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Charlton have won three of their last five.
✓Preston have won one of their last five.

Recent meetings

11 Apr 2026Charlton 1 - 2 Preston
4 Oct 2025Preston 2 - 0 Charlton
Preston have won two of the last two meetings.

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