Football/EFL Championship/Stoke v Middlesbrough

EFL ChampionshipTue 13 Oct · 19:00 UTC · bet365 Stadium

Stoke v Middlesbrough prediction

Stoke7th of 24 · 13 ptsWWDWW

Middlesbrough3rd of 24 · 15 ptsDWWDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Stoke and 1.4 from Middlesbrough, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Stoke come into this on two straight wins. Middlesbrough come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say

✓Stoke are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.

✓Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.

✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

21 Jan 2026Stoke 1 - 2 Middlesbrough

30 Sept 2025Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Stoke

25 Feb 2025Stoke 1 - 3 Middlesbrough

28 Sept 2024Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Stoke

2 Mar 2024Stoke 2 - 0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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