West Ham v West Brom: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made West Brom to score 1 or fewer 75%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.0 goals from West Ham and 1.0 from West Brom, so West Ham come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: West Brom to score 1 or fewer. This is about West Brom's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.