What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Derby and 1.1 from Stoke, so Derby come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Derby come into this on two straight draws. Stoke come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Derby or Draw. This covers Derby or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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