What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Cobresal and 1.4 from Coquimbo Unido, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Coquimbo Unido to win. Coquimbo Unido shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make them about 41% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.20, which works out at about 45 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Coquimbo Unido have won one of their last three.
